Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated November 2013)
Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
Requirements / Sales |
45 000 |
45 000 |
18 000 |
1 856 360 |
1 877 671 |
2 000 000 |
Available / Produced |
105 000 |
85 000 |
55 000 |
766 927 |
760 321 |
889 877 |
Shortage / Imports |
-60 000 |
-40 000 |
-37 000 |
1 089 433 |
1 117 350 |
1 110 123 |
2013/2014 – Estimate
Source: Fishing Industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2012/2013
Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
AFMA Members |
26 492 |
41 875 |
17 052 |
1 329 583 |
1 254 487 |
1 277 202 |
Non-AFMA Members |
18 508 |
3 125 |
948 |
526 777 |
623 184 |
722 798 |
Total |
45 000 |
45 000 |
18 000 |
1 856 360 |
1 877 671 |
2 000 000 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2012/2013
2013/2014 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
|
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Raw Materials |
2011/2012 |
|
2012/2013 |
|
2013/2014 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
279 765 |
4.55 |
290 032 |
4.70 |
305 802 |
4.77 |
Groundnuts oilcake |
2 045 |
0.03 |
1 759 |
0.03 |
1 458 |
0.02 |
Soy oilcake |
885 988 |
14.42 |
814 604 |
13.19 |
805 290 |
12.57 |
Full fat soy |
122 772 |
2.00 |
77 876 |
1.26 |
81 450 |
1.27 |
Cottonseed oilcake |
14 291 |
0.23 |
17 539 |
0.28 |
24 324 |
0.38 |
Full fat cottonseed |
7 611 |
0.12 |
9 436 |
0.15 |
10 944 |
0.17 |
Canola oilcake |
9 071 |
0.15 |
14 847 |
0.24 |
19 158 |
0.30 |
Full fat canola |
0 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
Copra and Palm Kernel |
8 011 |
0.13 |
27 969 |
0.45 |
27 108 |
0.42 |
Maize Germ Oilcake |
29 |
0.00 |
425 |
0.00 |
1 662 |
0.03 |
Total oilcake |
1 329 583 |
21.67 |
1 254 487 |
21.52 |
1 277 202 |
19.94 |
Total maize products |
3 236 414 |
58.68 |
3 199 641 |
51.80 |
3 344 904 |
52.22 |
Total fishmeal |
26 492 |
0.43 |
41 875 |
0.68 |
17 052 |
0.27 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2012/2013
AFMA raw material usage April 2013 to March 2014 scaled up to a twelve month period.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
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|
|
|
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) |
Imported Fishmeal (ton) |
Year |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
RSA |
90 000 |
70 000 |
40 000 |
|
|
|
Namibia ¹ |
15 000 |
15 000 |
15 000 |
|
|
|
Total |
105 000 |
85 000 |
55 000 |
-60 000 |
-40 000 |
-37 000 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2013/2014 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.
Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports (2011/2012-2013/2014)
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|
|
|
|
|
Local Oilcake production (ton) |
Imported Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
Oilcake: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Groundnuts oilcake |
1 |
1 |
0 |
235 |
588 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
336 966 |
233 268 |
252 000 |
57 159 |
166 273 |
|
Soy cake |
227 600 |
364 240 |
552 000 |
922 499 |
728 150 |
|
- Full fat |
120 160 |
105 120 |
|
|
|
|
- Beans |
|
|
|
1 083 |
468 |
|
Cotton cake |
|
|
5 602 |
68 333 |
127 604 |
|
- Full fat |
40 000 |
11 562 |
|
11 763 |
37 232 |
|
Other: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Canola |
24 200 |
31 130 |
66 275 |
|
|
|
Lupins |
18 000 |
15 000 |
14 000 |
|
|
|
Copra & Palm Kernel |
|
|
|
28 361 |
57 035 |
|
Total |
766 927 |
760 321 |
889 877 |
1 089 433 |
1 117 350 |
1 110 123 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2012/2013
2013/2014 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton) (2009/2010-2013/2014 marketing season)
Crop |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
White maize |
6 775 000 |
7 822 400 |
6 052 000 |
6 740 000 |
5 580 300 |
Yellow maize |
5 275 000 |
5 220 600 |
4 308 000 |
5 090 000 |
6 142 250 |
Sorghum |
276 500 |
220 093 |
155 000 |
135 500 |
151 064 |
Groundnuts |
99 500 |
87 880 |
64 250 |
59 000 |
42 300 |
Sunflower |
801 000 |
516 265 |
860 000 |
522 000 |
566 600 |
Soybeans |
516 000 |
560 950 |
710 000 |
650 000 |
787 100 |
Cotton seed ¹ |
15 658 |
14 793 |
31 373 |
22 326 |
11 188 |
Wheat |
1 958 000 |
1 430 000 |
2 005 000 |
1 870 000 |
1 790 850 |
Canola |
40 350 |
36 900 |
58 800 |
79 000 |
108 501 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third production estimate for winter crops (24 October 2013) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2013/2014 marketing year (24 October 2013).
¹ Cotton South Africa.
Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton) (2013/2014 marketing season)
Crop |
Opening stock |
Imports to RSA |
Production |
Exports |
Total supply |
White maize |
757 000 |
85 000 |
5 580 300 |
718 000 |
5 704 300 |
Yellow maize |
660 000 |
0 |
6 142 250 |
1 121 000 |
5 681 250 |
Sorghum |
48 300 |
55 000 |
151 064 |
40 000 |
214 364 |
Groundnuts |
17 800 |
18 000 |
42 300 |
8 000 |
70 100 |
Sunflower |
114 400 |
11 700 |
566 600 |
0 |
692 700 |
Soybeans |
175 900 |
800 |
787 100 |
16 000 |
947 800 |
Wheat |
499 000 |
1 550 000 |
1 790 850 |
251 000 |
3 588 850 |
Canola |
24 500 |
0 |
108 501 |
0 |
133 001 |
Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (2008/2009-2013/2014 production season)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ha Planted |
Crop |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
2013/2014 |
White maize |
1 489 000 |
1 719 700 |
1 418 300 |
1 636 200 |
1 617 200 |
1 553 000 |
Yellow maize |
938 500 |
1 022 700 |
954 000 |
1 063 000 |
1 164 000 |
1 132 000 |
Sorghum |
85 500 |
86 675 |
69 200 |
48 550 |
62 620 |
70 000 |
Groundnuts |
54 550 |
57 450 |
55 150 |
45 450 |
46 900 |
48 500 |
Sunflower |
635 800 |
397 700 |
642 700 |
453 350 |
504 700 |
620 000 |
Soybeans |
237 750 |
311 450 |
418 000 |
472 000 |
516 500 |
510 000 |
Wheat |
748 000 |
642 500 |
558 100 |
604 700 |
511 200 |
505 500 |
Canola |
34 000 |
35 060 |
34 820 |
43 510 |
44 100 |
72 156 |
Total |
4 223 100 |
4 273 235 |
4 150 270 |
4 366 760 |
4 467 220 |
4 511 156 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: Intentions to plant summer crops 2013/2014 production season (24 October 2013). Revised area estimate to plant winter crops 2013 production season (24 October 2013).
Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops |
Season |
White maize |
May-April |
Yellow maize |
May-April |
Sorghum |
April-March |
Groundnuts |
March-February |
Sunflower |
January-December |
Soybeans |
January-December |
Wheat |
October-September |