Bylae III

Short- and medium-term requirements and usage of fishmeal and oilcake

(Bylae aangebied in die taal waarin dit ontvang is)

Table 1

Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007
Requirements / Sales	127 000	80 000	60 000	1 212 593	1 414 338	1 200 000
Available / Produced	132 000	101 000	76 000	416 736	572 231	723 774
Shortage / Imports	(-5 000)	(-21 000)	(-16 000)	795 857	842 107	476 226

2006/2007 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 & 2005/2006

Table 2

Fishmeal and Oilcake usage (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007
AFMA Members	100 879	78 284	45 654	818 767	907 582	1 014 123
Non-AFMA Members	26 121	1 716	14 346	393 826	506 756	185 877
Total	127 000	80 000	60 000	1 212 593	1 414 338	1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2006/2007 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3

The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials	2004/2005		2005/2006		2006/2007
Sunflower oilcake	213 837	4.96	216 605	5.02	174 258	3.74
Groundnuts oilcake	891	0.02	2 636	0.06	544	0.01
Soy oilcake	448 648	10.40	473 885	10.98	623 184	13.38
Full fat soy	92 968	2.16	147 702	3.43	159 564	3.42
Cotton oilcake	46 396	1.08	50 865	1.18	39 822	0.58
Full fat cotton	4 340	0.10	6 454	0.15	5 784	0.12
Canola oilcake	5 138	0.12	5 344	0.12	2 834	0.06
Full fat canola	454	0.01	1 218	0.03	2 558	0.05
Total oilcake	818 767	18.97	907 582	21.04	1 014 123	21.77
Total maize products	2 384 886	55.34	2 387 611	53.51	2 391 250	51.32
Total fishmeal	100 879	2.34	78 284	1.82	45 654	0.98

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
AFMA raw material usage April 2006 to March 2007.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4

Fishmeal: local production and imports (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)

	Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton)			Imported fishmeal (ton)
Year	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007
RSA	120 000	95 000	70 000
Namibia	12 000	6 000	6 000
Total	132 000	101 000	76 000	(-5 000)	(-21 000)	(-16 000)

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2006/2007 – Estimate

Table 5

Oilcake: local production and imports (2004/2005-2006/2007)

	Local Oilcake production (ton)			Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007
Oilcake:
Groundnuts oilcake	1 766	1 391	4 280
Sunflower oilcake	277 200	267 120	261 660	16 073	22 144
Soy cake		37 200	402 400	626 244	635 173
- Full fat	92 080	172 800		22 234	4 504
- Beans
Cotton cake	21 170	37 500	18 234	89 056	121 947
- Full fat		35 000		32 315	52 684
Other				9 975	5 655
Canola	20 570	17 270	23 100
Lupins	3 950	3 950	14 100
Copra & Palm Kernel
Total	416 736	572 231	723 774	795 897	842 107	488 916

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2005/2006 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soya and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6

Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (ton) (2002/2003-2006/2007 marketing season)
Crop	2002/2003	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007
White maize	5 078 000	6 371 000	5 805 000	6 540 700	4 187 400
Yellow maize	3 386 000	3 019 000	3 677 000	4 909 300	2 430 600
Sorghum	208 000	219 700	373 000	260 000	96 000
Groundnuts	120 200	60 000	115 000	64 000	74 000
Sunflower	932 000	642 075	648 000	620 000	520 000
Soybeans	216 000	136 500	220 000	272 500	424 000
Cotton seed	36 530	29 278	50 169	37 804	5 962
Wheat	2 320 745	1 428 150	1 680 000	1 905 000	2 161 170
Sweet lupins	11 700	4 040	3 950	14 100	14 400
Canola	37 975	40 770	32 000	44 200	39 725

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth forecast for winter crops (19 December 2006) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2006/2007 marketing year (30 November 2006).
SAGIS; Cotton South Africa.

Table 7

Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton) (2006/2007 marketing season)
Crop	Opening stock	Imports to RSA	Production	Total supply
White maize	2 301 000	0	4 187 400	6 488 400
Yellow maize	868 000	1 225 000	2 430 600	4 523 600
Sorghum	185 000	10 000	96 000	291 000
Groundnuts	7 000	25 000	74 000	106 000
Sunflower	100 000	2 000	520 000	622 000
Soybeans	89 000	6 000	424 000	519 000
Wheat	583 000	750 000	2 161 170	3 494 170
Canola	15 300	0	39 725	55 025

Source: Opening stock, import, production and export figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
2006/2007 Marketing Season applies for winter crops.

Table 8

Area Planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (2001/2002-2006/2007 production season)

	Ha planted
Crop	2001/2002	2002/2003	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007
White maize	1 721 580	2 234 350	1 842 000	1 700 000	1 033 000	1 767 000
Yellow maize	1 111 000	950 350	1 001 300	1 110 000	567 200	1 001 000
Sorghum	75 000	95 100	130 000	86 500	37 150	84 000
Groundnuts	94 160	49 850	71 500	40 000	48 550	50 500
Sunflower	645 510	605 750	530 000	460 000	472 480	390 000
Soybeans	124 150	100 150	135 000	150 000	240 570	220 000
Wheat	959 400	941 100	748 000	830 000	805 000	764 800
Sweet lupins	14 785	11 000	10 100	7 100	14 100	16 000
Canola	27 000	33 000	44 200	44 250	40 200	34 700
Total	4 772 585	5 020 650	4 512 100	4 427 850	3 258 250	4 328 000

National Crops Estimates Committee – Revised intentions to plant for summer crops 2006/2007 production season (21 November 2006). Fifth estimate to plant for winter crops 2006/2007 production season (19 December 2006).

Table 9

Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crop	Season
White maize	May-April
Yellow maize	May-April
Sorghum	April-March
Groundnuts	March-February
Sunflower	January-December
Soybeans	January-December
Wheat	October-September

Sojaflits 1 / Soybean News Flash 1

Oilseeds Focus

Canola

Soybeans

Navorsingsverslag 2006/2007

Bylae III

Short- and medium-term requirements and usage of fishmeal and oilcake